Population Data
To project France’s population, we derived data from INSEE (Institut National de la Statistique et des Études Économiques), France’s official statistics website. Using historical trends, and assuming the current activity prevails, we were able to establish a reasonable expectation for predicting future population values.
We used two models for these population projections: The Monte Carlo and the Autoregression Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models. In each of France’s metro areas, we ran multiple configurations of each of the two models to find out which model (and which configuration within that model) was most accurate for that metro.
France’s metropolitan areas are based on the country’s NUTS3 departments. The Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS) geographical division is constructed by Eurostat.
In addition to the LMI data mentioned here Lightcast also offers insights through Global Postings and Global Worker profiles in France.
Labor Market Information (LMI) Data
Occupation data was extracted from France’s 2015 DADS document (Description des emplois privés et publics et des salaires) published by INSEE.
France has its own occupation classification system, PCS 2003 (Professions et catégories socioprofessionnelles), which we have mapped to Global Occupations.
Once we have an adequate occupation mapping, we then took the expected population growth rate from the models mentioned above and applied that same growth rate across the LMI in each of France’s metropolitan areas. These are then mapped to Global Occupations.