BR-Brazil Methodology
Updated over a week ago

Population Data

Brazil’s population was gathered from Brazil’s institute of Geography & Statistics. All years except for 2007 & 2010 are estimates released by the agency. The 2007 population values are a result of a population count conducted on that year while 2010’s values are derived from the country’s most recent census.

Using historical trends, and assuming the current activity prevails, we were able to establish a reasonable expectation for predicting future population values. Our population projections are based on two projection models: The Monte Carlo simulation model and the Autoregression Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models.

In each of Brazil’s metropolitan areas, hand-curated based on the country’s established states and metropolitan regions, we ran multiple configurations of each of the two models to find out which model (and which configuration within that model) was most accurate for each individual area.

In addition to the LMI data mentioned here Lightcast also offers insights through Global Postings and Global Worker profiles in Brazil.

Labor Market Information (LMI) Data

We obtained Labor market information (LMI) for Brazil from an annual RAIS publication that records the number of employees per occupational categories following a CBO 2002 (Classificação Brasileira de Ocupações 2002) basis.

When creating the occupation supply projections, we took the expected population growth rate from the models mentioned above and applied that same growth rate across the LMI in each of Brazil’s metropolitan regions. Once we had the projections, we mapped CBO 2002 to Global Occupations.

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